Tuesday, February 09, 2021

If the nation split up, how would we get there…

A growing chunk of the nation’s population believe the differences between the left and right, liberals and conservatives, socialists and patriots, globalists and nationalists, takers and producers – however you want to label the GREAT DIVIDE, are IRRECONCILABLE.

Starting from that premise, it leads many to wonder if the nation is headed for a split of some sort, whether peacefully arranged through astute negotiations (which is as likely as a foot of snow in Key West) or through more violent means.

What are some of the more likely scenarios and chain of events that would result in the ultimate breakup, when might that occur, and what will the final map look like?

We can be pretty sure it won’t be a North/South thing like in the 1860’s.  I also doubt it will be a strictly Red State/Blue State split, either.  There are too many socialist/leftist controlled cities with psychotic populations in two many otherwise conservative “Red” states to let themselves be taken over by a bunch of conservatives. Take deep Red Texas, for example.  It would be another snow event in Key West before Fort Worth, Dallas, Houston, or Austin would cave to conservative governance.

So, what is most likely? 

Well even in liberal New York and California there are conservative counties in primarily rural areas.  Every state has a mix.  Trump-loving Florida has its deeply liberal Palm Beach, Broward, and Dade Counties, and likely Hillsborough, Duval and Orange counties, home to  West Palm, Fort Lauderdale, Miami, Tampa, Jacksonville, and Orlando that are lovers of Biden, Pelosi, Chuckie Schumer, and Commie Kamala. But over 70% of the rest of the area of Florida is Patriot territory.

And university towns, large or small, in any state, will be leftist, globalist, environmental-extremist strongholds.

2020 US Presidential Election results map, by county…2020 US Presidential Election Map By County & Vote Share

With the exception of the bogus November 3rd election results in several dozen counties across the nation (add those to the Red) the map above depicts what our national divide would look like.

For the most part, the Great Divide would be Urban/Rural. 

Suburbs and small towns would be a mixed bag.  The outcome, especially in these highly contested areas, would depend on a combination of political, economic/fiscal, psychological ops, cyber, and kinetic resources, and the relatives skills and will to use them. I would imagine that control of small, liberal-leaning towns in rural regions would be overtaken by conservatives and patriots.  And conversely, suburbs under the heavy influence of large metro areas would have to succumb to the will of the socialists in control in those areas.

These contested areas are the most likely to be subject to violent and kinetic activity due to the nature of the populations, the densities of the populations, the financial/economic interests involved, and the prejudices, especially among minority groups, that have grown since the Obama years.

The rural and fringe suburban areas will be less likely to experience violence, although violence will still be widespread.

Now, since the socialists in charge now control the military brass and are in the process of vetting military personnel who may have conservative, patriotic, or nationalist leanings (God forbid we have soldiers who are patriotic and love their country!) the direction most of our military might take is open to debate.

Our national intelligence and investigative services are another matter.  We should expect widespread psycho-babble, cyber shutdowns, disinformation, and infiltration by these organizations to keep deep state interests in power. Local police will be further neutered.  County sheriffs will be the law enforcement hope of conservatives.

My bottom line:  It will be messy and the lines will be drawn and redrawn many times over.  I would NOT want to live in or within 50 miles of any urban area of over a half million people.  I would not want to live in or closer than 10 miles of any city of more than 100,000.  I would not want to live in a BLUE state, or in or near a state capital or university town of any size.

And I cannot envision any entirely peaceful way out of our Great Divide.

When will the Great Divide become a serious option in the minds of those who  have the influence and power to make it happen?  I’d give it two or three more presidential election cycles at most.

So my mostly rhetorical question:

At what point will some parts of the frog begin to twitch in the pot of boiling water and attempt to jump out?  Or is it too late?  That is to say, at what point will some well-informed and well-equipped segments of our population act in a manner that invites forced suppression that is widespread enough to evoke an uprising?  Will such reaction become a tsunami, or will it never go beyond conservative/nationalist grumblings?

I suspect that the powers that be are anticipating this reaction and are one or more steps ahead. Thus we are seeing skirmishes in the form of suppression of speech (mainstream media, college campus, internet media), neutering of local police, 5,000 troops remaining along with massive walls built in DC and scripted generation of COVID fear accompanied by mandatory mask-wearing here and there to condition us for future government dictates.